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UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Energy Costs Rise 

UK Business Confidence Falls to 17-Month Low as Energy Costs Rise

UK business confidence has fallen sharply as firms face higher energy costs, inflation, and wider economic uncertainty. 

The latest Lloyds Bank Business Barometer shows that overall business confidence dropped 12 points from 53% in August to 41% in September 2026. This is the lowest level recorded since April 2025, making it a 17-month low. 

The fall comes after several months of stronger confidence. However, businesses are now becoming more cautious about the wider economy and their own trading outlook. 

Energy prices have become an important part of that concern. Rising global energy costs and continued uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict are putting more pressure on business expenses. 

What Is Driving the Fall in UK Business Confidence? 

The biggest change came from weaker confidence in the economy. 

According to Lloyds, economic optimism fell by 18 points to 31% in September. Firms are dealing with higher costs, inflation, and uncertainty over future demand. 

Energy costs are adding to that pressure. Higher global energy prices can increase electricity, fuel, transport, and other operating costs. This can make budgeting harder, especially when prices change quickly. 

Despite the fall, overall confidence remains above the survey’s long-term average of 30%. Lloyds also found that 57% of firms still expect their output to increase over the next year. 

This means businesses have become more cautious, but the figures do not point to a complete loss of confidence. 

Smaller Businesses Are Feeling More Pressure 

The latest figures show a clear difference between small and larger businesses. 

Confidence among companies with turnover below £5 million fell by 14 points to 39%. These smaller businesses are more exposed to higher day-to-day costs and may have less room in their budgets to absorb sudden increases. 

Larger firms showed a different trend. Confidence among businesses with turnover between £25 million and £100 million increased by three points to 75%. 

This gap matters for UK SMEs. When energy, wages, supplies, or other costs rise, smaller companies may see their cash reserves and profit margins come under pressure more quickly. 

Which Sectors Are Being Affected? 

Confidence also fell across several major parts of the UK economy. 

Manufacturing confidence dropped 19 points to 36%, while services fell 21 points to 35%. Construction confidence also declined, falling eight points to 47%. 

The weakness was widespread across the country, with confidence falling in 10 of the UK’s 12 regions and nations. 

For business owners, these figures show why cost control and financial planning are becoming more important. 

What Should UK Businesses Do Now? 

Businesses should not treat weaker confidence as a reason to stop investing or making plans. Instead, it is a signal to review finances more closely. 

Start by checking your current cash flow and expected costs for the coming months. Review energy bills, supplier costs, payroll, and other regular expenses. 

Businesses should also compare actual performance with their budgets. If operating costs are rising faster than expected, forecasts may need to be updated. 

Waiting until cash flow becomes tight can reduce the options available. Earlier planning gives business owners more time to adjust spending, manage working capital, and prepare for further changes. 

How Can Lanop Help? 

At Lanop Business & Tax Advisors, we help UK businesses understand their financial position and prepare for changes in costs and market conditions. 

Our team can support businesses with management accounts, cash-flow forecasting, bookkeeping, tax planning, and wider financial advice. 

With business confidence now at a 17-month low, having clear financial information can help business owners make informed decisions instead of reacting after costs have already affected their margins. 

If rising costs are putting pressure on your business, contact Lanop today to review your numbers and plan the next steps with greater confidence.

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